“Cross-Strait Talk” (General 157th), hosted by China Cross-Strait Academy (Hong Kong) and Xiamen Qidataixiang Entrepreneurship Service Co., Ltd., was successfully held at the Tencent Conference with the theme of “Taiwan-US relations:‘As solid as a Rock’ or ‘Damaging Taiwan’ !”.
Recently, the DPP administration has repeatedly stressed that Taiwan-US relations are “as solid as a rock” and has been cooperating with the US to turn Taiwan into its pawn guard dog. Although more than a month has passed since Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, the US still gets greedy. The US Senate Foreign Affairs Committee is scheduled to finalize its deliberation of the Taiwan Policy Act of 2022 on September 14. If this act passes, it will be sent to the Senate floor for a vote. The act formally will grant Taiwan “major non-NATO ally” status and support Taiwan’s membership in the Indo-Pacific Economic Architecture. There is no doubt that Taiwan Policy Act of 2022 will become the most important act to Taiwan since the Taiwan Relations Act was effective 1979. And the TPA also officially declares that the strategy of America’s China policy shifted from ambiguity to clarity. The China-US joint communique will become mere formality. Meanwhile, it highlights the differences between the American One China Policy and Chinese One China Principle and results in hollowing One China Principle. It is clear that Chinese authorities will definitely take relevant measures. With the difficult disagreement between China and the United States, the conflict is officially on the table. However, Taiwanese people are still the most miserable in that case, because they are once again tied into the chariot of the United States against China by the DPP. Meanwhile, China Airlines held an interim board meeting on Monday to purchase 16 Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners and the agreement alao entailed options for another 8 planes with worth 140.3 billion NTD. The main reason is that Senator Lindsey Graham, pressed Taiwan to buy 24 787s from Boeing during his visit to Taiwan in April in his meeting with Tsai Ing-wen. But the 787 has been known to have so many problems that even Boeing engineers have threatened not to fly on it. At that time, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) had halted 787’s deliveries. Now the so-called “imminent passage” of the Taiwan Policy Act of the United States undoubtedly seriously damages the situation across the Taiwan Straits. What is more outrageous is that it will cost hundreds of billions to buy unsafe Boeing 787 aircraft. Can Americans really be trusted? Are the Taiwan-US relations “as solid as a rock” or “damaging Taiwan”? In this “Cross-Strait Talk”, China Cross-Strait Academy (Hong Kong) specially invited Chou Yi, a three-term Taiwan legislator, and also a member of the Central Committee of KMT, to discuss the topic of “Taiwan-US Relations: ‘As solid as a Rock’ or ‘Damaging Taiwan’ !”The discussion would focus on what is the real intention of the Taiwan Policy Act，whether the confrontation between China and the United States will become official, what will happen to the situation across the Taiwan Strait if the Taiwan Policy Act is passed, whether China Airlines is in order to cooperate with the Democratic Progressive Party’s no bottom line pro-America with making a big move to officially announce the purchase of Boeing 787 which spent money at the expense of public aviation safety at this time and from the Taiwan Policy Act to overpaying for the Boeing 787, the Taiwan-US relations are “as solid as a rock” or "damaging Taiwan”. Luo Dingjun, Secretary General of China Cross-Strait Academy (Hong Kong), served as the host of the meeting.
Chou Yi said that Eric Chu, chairman of the Kuomintang (KMT), recently accepted an exclusive interview with Deutsche Welle. He made all preparations in advance, but finally lost control of his emotions and ended with a bad mood. The reason why Eric Chu couldn’t hide his emotions on that day is that he was stimulated by many aspects. On the day of his interview, China Times published an interview with Hou Youyi and expressed support for him. Under the media’s manipulation, Hou Youyi’s vague attitude about running for Taiwan’s leadership in 2024 became a clear statement of candidacy. It is a blow to Mr. Chu, because he is running in 2024 with high hopes of regaining power. The anxiety in his heart was evident. In addition, German journalists repeatedly pressed him on his attitude towards the 2024 election and the 1992 Consensus. When asked whether the KMT’s election prospects were in danger because of the party’s low support rating, Mr. Chu repeatedly hit a nerve and demanded an end. This makes the exclusive interview not only did not achieve any original additional points, but also exposed his weaknesses.
If the so-called Taiwan Policy Act passes, it will have a more serious impact on Sino-US relations than Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan. It includes articles providing Taiwan with $4.5 billion in military aid over four years, granting Taiwan “major non-NATO ally” status, and asking the U.S. State Department to coordinate a change in the name of Taiwan’s representative office in the United States. The Taiwan Policy Act will completely overturn China-US relations and hollow out the One-China policy. It also directly expresses the shift of the US from strategic ambiguity to strategic clarity, overturning the “three Sino-US Joint Communiques” and the “August 17 Communique” and forming the factual “Taiwan independence” of “one China, one Taiwan”. It is not only a violation of China’s anti-Secession Law, but also a blatant stampede on the red line of One China Principle. In response, the mainland China is bound to take more drastic strategic countermeasures against Taiwan than Pelosi’s move.
Recently, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) successfully pressured China Airlines to buy 24 Boeing aircrafts for US $8 billion in exchange for the pro-Taiwan independence Taiwan Policy Act adopted by US lawmakers. Now that political blackmail has been done, the Taiwan Policy Act will pass on September 14th as part of the deal. The United States chose Boeing because it is one of the three largest arms dealers in the United States and a financial backer of many American politicians. To solve Boeing’s current financial crisis, it used Taiwan to sell the troubled 787 at a high price in exchange for money to build more advanced models.
Suffering from a drop in mainland tourists and staff strikes，China Airlines has been already in tatters due to the pandemic, , and will soon reveal its own economic problems and trigger public anger. The earthquake of Taiwan’s economy combined with the highly unstable situation across the Taiwan Strait will certainly make the Taiwan people in dire straits under domestic and foreign troubles. And the Taiwan people are used to deceive themselves. Under the guidance of the Taiwan Democratic Progressive Party authorities, they uphold the psychology of small happiness all the time, which makes the public sentiment across the Taiwan Straits become increasingly alienated.
In addition to the wonderful speeches delivered by the guests, the online audience also actively participated in the interactive questions on the topic. The audience asked questions about whether the US really support Taiwan in a head-on conflict with China, how likely it is that NATO countries will follow the United States in intervening in Taiwan with their own motives and without much practical interest in Taiwan, whether the US’s vigorous suppression of Taiwan’s semiconductor industry will result in Taiwan’s semiconductor power and talent pool being divided by China, Japan and other countries and whether the US and China somehow agree on cracking down on Taiwan’s semiconductors. All the guests at the meeting answered these questions, and the discussion was heated, highlighting the great concern of young people and scholars on Cross-Strait on the issue.
According to Chou Yi, instead of getting involved directly, America is likely to opt to engage in a proxy war that it is adept at and impose sanctions on China by mobilizing its Allies. The immediate consequence would be to sacrifice Taiwan and make it a second Ukraine. If America uses Taiwan as an asymmetric weapon of war to consume China and use sanctions to drag down China’s economy, it will be a heavy burden for China’s development. The mainland China should analyze the advantages and disadvantages of both sides in terms of strategy and tactics in response to possible actions taken by the United States. Precise knowledge of self and precise knowledge of the threat leads to victory.
Currently, the inflation in Europe is very serious and the European debt crisis may erupt at any time, so European countries are in the predicament of Strong Dollar and Weak Euro. The U.S. economy is still relatively strong compared with Europe, and European countries are still highly dependent on the U.S. to get out of the current economic difficulties, and they are far behind the U.S. in military strength. Therefore, they do not dare to go against the U.S. in the short term, and have to yield to the coercive pressure of the U.S. and follow the orders of the U.S.
Taiwan’s electoral system causes a short-term effect, which make the ruling party and leaders in Taiwan neither care about the long-term stability of Taiwan nor take a long-term view of and deal with Taiwan's economic development. Tsai’s current approach only makes Taiwan’s semiconductor industry develop too soon and actually contributes to the United States in exchange for personal political benefits. It doesn’t help any on Taiwan’s economic development, but contrary to drag the formerly dominant semiconductor industry down.
At the end of the meeting, Chou Yi made the point that once the Taiwan Policy Act passes, “Taiwan independence”supporters on the island will be more rampant, and then there will be less soil for those who support reunification in Taiwan to survive. Therefore, the reunification of the two sides of the Taiwan Straits is imminent and imperative.
Through a brief 1-hour online exchange, more than 300 people from both sides of the strait gathered to discuss the topic of “Taiwan-US Relations: ‘As solid as a Rock’ or ‘Damaging Taiwan’!, to promote cross-strait exchanges with practical actions, and make contributions to maintaining cross-strait peace and development.
As the cross-strait exchange activity synchronized with “Cross-Strait Talk” and “Smart Youth Integration in the Four Places”, the Cross-Strait Youth Perspective Forum, which was launched by China Cross-Strait Academy (Hong Kong), is mainly characterized by gathering authoritative scholars and media worker from Cross-Strait and four places. They will listen to the voice of the Strait, pay attention to the hot spots on both sides of Taiwan Strait, take a global vision, and make a new voice based on both sides of the strait and facing the world.